“Confidence fell 1.1%, despite the RBA’s second rate cut. The passage of the tax cuts has also not been an immediate boost to sentiment. We need to put this in context, however. Consumer confidence rose sharply in the prior week and is above average, so some consolidation is not completely unexpected. Interestingly, confidence also fell immediately following the June RBA rate cut, suggesting the immediate take-away from monetary easing is not necessarily positive. The mixed nature of last week’s data, with another trade surplus but soft retail sales, may also have contributed.”
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Confidence jumped by 4% - one of the largest increases in a year. On an absolute level, the index is at a two-month high.
Consumer confidence rose 3 points in June to 123, above the historical average. The Current Conditions Index rose 2 points and the Future Conditions Index lifted 4 points.
In May 2019 Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence increased 1.8pts from April to 161.8. This is 4.8pts higher than a year ago in May 2018 (157.0) and a significant 25pts above the long-run average (2005-2019) of 136.8.
Weekly consumer confidence was essentially unchanged last week, gaining just 0.1%. Within this stable headline result there was quite a bit of movement in the sub-indices. Those relating to personal financial conditions were stron...
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Roy Morgan is the largest independent Australian research company, with offices throughout Australia, as well as in Indonesia, the United States and the United Kingdom. A full service research organisation specialising in omnibus and syndicated data, Roy Morgan has over 70 years’ experience in collecting objective, independent information on consumers.
The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. Margin of error gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.
25% or 75%
10% or 90%
5% or 95%