Roy Morgan Unemployed and ‘Under-employed’* Estimates
|
Unemployed or
‘Under-employed’*
|
Unemployed
|
Unemployed looking for
|
‘Under-employed’*
|
Full-time
|
Part-time
|
2018
|
‘000
|
%
|
‘000
|
%
|
‘000
|
‘000
|
‘000
|
%
|
Jan-Mar 2018
|
2,561
|
18.9
|
1,246
|
9.2
|
626
|
620
|
1,314
|
9.7
|
Apr-Jun 2018
|
2,528
|
18.9
|
1,228
|
9.2
|
589
|
639
|
1,301
|
9.7
|
Jul-Sep 2018
|
2,469
|
18.5
|
1,354
|
10.1
|
631
|
723
|
1,115
|
8.3
|
Oct-Dec 2018
|
2,440
|
18.1
|
1,286
|
9.5
|
559
|
727
|
1,154
|
8.6
|
2019
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jan-Mar 2019
|
2,604
|
19.2
|
1,345
|
9.9
|
635
|
701
|
1,229
|
9.3
|
Months
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
April 2018
|
2,545
|
19.3
|
1,196
|
9.1
|
561
|
635
|
1,349
|
10.2
|
May 2018
|
2,567
|
19.1
|
1,316
|
9.8
|
627
|
689
|
1,251
|
9.3
|
June 2018
|
2,473
|
18.4
|
1,171
|
8.7
|
578
|
593
|
1,302
|
9.7
|
July 2018
|
2,478
|
18.6
|
1,329
|
10.0
|
581
|
749
|
1,148
|
8.6
|
August 2018
|
2,547
|
19.0
|
1,476
|
11.0
|
700
|
776
|
1,071
|
8.0
|
September 2018
|
2,383
|
17.8
|
1,256
|
9.4
|
611
|
645
|
1,127
|
8.4
|
October 2018
|
2,507
|
18.6
|
1,265
|
9.4
|
501
|
764
|
1,242
|
9.2
|
November 2018
|
2,333
|
17.2
|
1,291
|
9.5
|
578
|
713
|
1,042
|
7.7
|
December 2018
|
2,480
|
18.5
|
1,302
|
9.7
|
599
|
703
|
1,178
|
8.8
|
January 2019
|
2,553
|
18.7
|
1,253
|
9.2
|
597
|
656
|
1,300
|
9.5
|
February 2019
|
2,448
|
18.2
|
1,292
|
9.6
|
606
|
686
|
1,156
|
8.6
|
March 2019
|
2,812
|
20.6
|
1,491
|
10.9
|
731
|
760
|
1,321
|
9.7
|
April 2019
|
2,381
|
17.7
|
1,202
|
8.9
|
599
|
603
|
1,179
|
8.8
|
May 2019
|
2,559
|
18.4
|
1,325
|
9.5
|
674
|
651
|
1,234
|
8.9
|
June 2019
|
2,529 |
18.6 |
1,254 |
9.2 |
605 |
649 |
1,275 |
9.4
|
July 2019 |
2,480 |
18.3 |
1,182 |
8.7 |
526 |
656 |
1,298 |
9.6 |
August 2019 |
2,130 |
15.8 |
1,179 |
8.7 |
454 |
725 |
951 |
7.1 |
September 2019 |
2,174 |
15.7 |
1,202 |
8.7 |
581 |
621 |
972 |
7.0 |
October 2019 |
2,307 |
16.7 |
1,075 |
7.8 |
441 |
634 |
1,232 |
8.9 |
November 2019 |
2,226 |
16.1 |
1,122 |
8.1 |
549 |
573 |
1,104 |
8.0 |
December 2019 |
2,588 |
18.6 |
1,205 |
8.7 |
619 |
587 |
1,383 |
9.9 |
January 2020
|
2,586
|
18.4 |
1,361 |
9.7 |
713 |
648 |
1,225 |
8.7 |
*Workforce includes those employed and those looking for work – the unemployed.
For further information:
Contact
|
Office
|
Mobile
|
Gary Morgan:
|
+61 3 9224 5213
|
+61 411 129 094
|
Michele Levine:
|
+61 3 9224 5215
|
+61 411 129 093
|
Unemployment Data Tables
Roy Morgan Research Employment Estimates (2001-2020)
Roy Morgan Research Unemployment & Under-employment Estimates (2005-2020)
Roy Morgan Research vs ABS Employment Estimates (1992-2020)
ABS Employment Estimates (1992-2020)


ROY MORGAN MEASURES REAL UNEMPLOYMENT IN AUSTRALIA
NOT THE ‘PERCEPTION’ OF UNEMPLOYMENT – JUNE 8, 2012
http://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/Files/Papers/2012/20120603.pdf
The Roy Morgan Unemployment estimate is obtained by surveying an Australia-wide cross section by face-to-face interviews. A person is classified as unemployed if they are looking for work, no matter when. The results are not seasonally adjusted and provide an accurate measure of monthly unemployment estimates in Australia.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics Unemployment estimates are obtained by mostly telephone interviews. Households selected for the ABS Survey are interviewed each month for eight months, with one-eighth of the sample being replaced each month. The first interview is conducted face-to-face. Subsequent interviews are then conducted by telephone.
The ABS classifies a person as unemployed if, when surveyed, they have been actively looking for work in the four weeks up to the end of the reference week and if they were available for work in the reference week.
The ABS classifies a person as employed if, when surveyed, a person worked for one hour or more during the reference week for pay, profit, commission or payment in kind, or even if a person worked for one hour or more without pay in a family business or on a farm.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics Unemployment estimates are also seasonally adjusted.
For these reasons the Australian Bureau of Statistics Unemployment estimates are different from the Roy Morgan Unemployment estimate. Gary Morgan's concerns regarding the ABS Unemployment estimate is clearly outlined in his letter to the Australian Financial Review, which was not published.
Margin of Error
The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.