Two Party Preferred

ALP 51% up 1%
L-NP 49% down 1%
April 23/24, 30 & May 1, 2016

Voting Intention

ALP 32.5
L-NP 40
Greens 13.5
Ind 13.5
April 23/24, 30 & May 1, 2016

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence

113.9 +2.2

Unemployment

11 +1

Business Confidence

123.1 +7.4

Inflation Expectations

4.8 -0.2

Latest Morgan Poll Releases

In early May ALP support 51% (up 1%) is again in front of the L-NP 49% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis. This is the best result for ALP since Malcolm Turnbull became Prime Minister in September 2015. However, if a Federal Election were held now the result would be too close to call and would likely result in a hung Parliament.

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National vote lowest since 2014 Election as NZ First vote surges to 20 year high of 12.5%

During April support for National fell 3.5% to 42.5% - the lowest for two years since April – May 2014, now only 2% ahead of a potential Labour/Greens alliance 40.5% (down 1.5%). If a New Zealand Election were held now the latest NZ Roy Morgan Poll shows NZ First 12.5% (up 3.5% to their highest level of support in twenty years) would hold the balance of power and be in a position to determine who would form the next New Zealand Government.

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In mid-April L-NP support is 50% (down 2.5%) cf. ALP 50% (up 2.5%) on a two-party preferred basis following debate about the reintroduction of the ABCC (Australian Building & Construction Commission) and Labor calls for a Royal Commission into the Banking and Finance industries. If a Federal Election were held now the result would be too close to call and would likely result in a hung Parliament.

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Consumer Confidence down for 4th week - by Gary Morgan

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence fell again this week - down for the fourth week in a row to 112.0 (down 4.4pts in a month). Driving this week's fall was a deterioration of the index comparing personal financial situations to this time last year - with just 29% (down 3ppts) of Australians saying they are 'better off' financially than this time last year and now 26% (up 3ppts) of Australians saying they are 'worse off' financially.

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Federal 2 Party Vote

Morgan Poll - April 23/24, 30 & May 1, 2016. 2,951 electors Party

Confidence Ratings

Latest Updates Latest Business Confidence and ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Ratings
  • Australian Business Confidence; 28/04/16

    123.1
  • Australian Consumer Confidence 03/05/16

    113.9
  • Chinese Consumer Confidence 20/04/2016

    145.0
  • NZ Consumer Confidence 21/04/2016

    120.0
  • Indonesian Consumer Confidence 18/04/2016

    150.6

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