Two Party Preferred Voting Intention (%) (2013-2016)

Recent Election Results
L-NP ALP
% %
Election, September 7, 2013 53.5 46.5
Election, August 21, 2010 49.9 50.1
Election, November 24, 2007 47.3 52.7
Election, October 9, 2004 52.7 47.3
Election, November 10, 2001 51.0 49.0
Election, October 3^, 1998 49.0 51.0
Election, March 2, 1996 53.6 46.4

  Preferences distributed
by how electors say they will vote
Preferences distributed by how
electors voted at the 2013 Federal Election
% % % %


L-NP ALP L-NP ALP
Morgan Poll: Federal Election 2013-2016



May 21/22 & 28/29, 2016 49 51 48.5 51.5
May 14/15, 2016 47.5 52.5 48 52
April 23/24, 30 & May 1, 2016 49 51 49.5 50.5
April 9/10 & 16/17, 2016 50 50 49 51
March 26/27 & April 2/3, 2016 52.5 47.5 51.5 48.5
March 12/13 & 19/20, 2016 49.5 50.5 49.5 50.5
February 27/28 & March 5/6, 2016 53 47 53 47
February 13/14 & 20/21, 2016 52.5 47.5 52.5 47.5
January 30/31 & February 6/7, 2016 52.5 47.5 52.5 47.5
January 16/17 & 23/24, 2016 55 45 54 46
January 2/3 & 9/10, 2016 56 44 55.5 44.5
2016
December 5/6 & 12/13, 2015 57.5 42.5 56 44
November 21/22 & 28/29, 2015 56 44 55 45
November 7/8 & 14/15, 2015 56 44 55 45
October 24/25, 21 & November 1, 2015 56.5 43.5 55 45
October 10/11 & 17/18, 2015 56 44 55 45
September 26/27 & October 1-5, 2015 56 44 55 45
September 19/20, 2015 55 45 53.5 46.5
September 15, 2015 - Malcolm Turnbull challenges and defeats Tony Abbott to become Prime Minister
September 12/13, 2015 43 57 43.5 56.5
August 29/30 & September 5/6, 2015 45 55 44.5 55.5
August 15/16 & 22/23, 2015 45.5 54.5 46.5 53.5
August 1/2 & 8/9, 2015 43 57 45.5 54.5
July 18/19 & 25/26, 2015 46 54 46.5 53.5
July 4/5 & 11/12, 2015 49 51 49 51
June 20/21 & 27/28, 2015 46.5 53.5 47 53
June 6/7 & 13/14, 2015 45.5 54.5 45.5 54.5
May 23/24 & 30/31, 2015 47 53 48 52
May 16/17, 2015 49 51 48.5 51.5
April 25/26 & May 2/3, 2015 46.5 53.5 47 53
April 11/12 & 18/19, 2015 47 53 46 54
March 28/29 & April 3-6, 2015 47 53 47 53
March 14/15 & 21/22, 2015 44 56 46 54
February 28/ March 1 & 7/8, 2015 46.5 53.5 46.5 53.5
February 14/15 & 21/22, 2015 44 56 45 55
January 31/ February 1 & 7/8, 2015 42.5 57.5 43 57
January 23-27, 2015 43.5 56.5 44.5 55.5
January 3/4 & 10/11, 2015 45.5 54.5 47 53
2015
December 6/7 & 13/14, 2014 42.5 57.5 43.5 56.5
November 22/23 & 29/30, 2014 46.5 53.5 47 53
November 8/9 & 15/16, 2014 44.5 55.5 46 54
October 25/26 & November 1/2, 2014 45.5 54.5 46.5 53.5
October 11/12 & 18/19, 2014 48 52 48 52
September 27/28 & October 4/5, 2014 47 53 48.5 51.5
September 13/14 & 20/21, 2014 45.5 54.5 46.5 53.5
August 30/31 & September 6/7, 2014 46 54 47 53
August 16/17 & 23/24, 2014 44.5 55.5 46 54
August 2/3 & 9/10, 2014 44 56 46 54
July 19/20 & 26/27, 2014 45.5 54.5 46 54
July 5/6 & 12/13, 2014 43.5 56.5 44 56
June 21/22 & 28/29, 2014 42.5 57.5 45.5 54.5
June 14/15, 2014 44.5 55.5 45.5 54.5
June 7/8, 2014 39.5 60.5 41 59
May 24/25 & 31/ June 1, 2014 43.5 56.5 45 55
May 17/18, 2014 42.5 57.5 43.5 56.5
April 26/27 & May 3/4, 2014 45 55 46.5 53.5
April 12/13 & 19/20, 2014 48 52 48 52
March 29/30 & April 5/6, 2014 48.5 51.5 48 52
March 15/16 & 22/23, 2014 45.5 54.5 46.5 53.5
March 1/2 & 8/9, 2014 46.5 53.5 47.5 52.5
February 15/16 & 22/23, 2014 49.5 50.5 49.5 50.5
February 1/2 & 8/9, 2014 48 52 49 51
January 18/19 & 25/26, 2014 47 53 47.5 52.5
January 4/5 & 11/12, 2014 47.5 52.5 47 53
2014
December 7/8 & 14/15, 2013 (Multi-mode) 47.5 52.5 47.5 52.5
November 30/ December 1, 2013 (Multi-mode) 48.5 51.5 48.5 51.5
November 16/17, 2013 (Multi-mode) 51 49 51.5 48.5
November 2/3, 2013 (Multi-mode) 50 50 50 50
October 19/20, 2013 (Multi-mode) 51.5 48.5 51 49
October 13, 2013 - Bill Shorten is elected as the new leader of the ALP over Anthony Albanese
October 5/6, 2013 (Multi-mode) 49.5 50.5 50 50
September 21/22, 2013 (Multi-mode) 50.5 49.5 50 50
September 7, 2013 - Tony Abbott leads the L-NP (53.5%) cf. ALP (46.5%) to Federal Election victory

^1998 Federal Election results have been updated to include results from the electorate of Newcastle supplementary election.

The L-NP did not have a candidate contesting the electorate of Newcastle.